Develop the 1- and 2-hour AEP and climate change projections specifically related to extreme rainfall and hydrology in Ohio. Evaluate Global Climate Change projections and model output using Regional Downscaled Projections relevant for Ohio. Utilize the current climate change projections available from CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6). Projections from CMIP6 are available in a downscaled format on a gridded output covering the region at a high resolution (0.025 decimal degrees) that accounts for the spatial and temporal variabilities within each region. Global Climate Model (GCM) projections and regional downscaled outputs must include parameters relevant to determine changes in precipitation, moisture, and temperature change including the seasonality of the parameters. Numerous CMIP6 model output projections and ensembles must be investigated and the required parameters that represent temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric moisture must be downloaded. These projections must provide the information needed to understand and quantify the amount and rate of change through time. This must allow evaluation of each parameter at any interval between today and 2100. Utilize several methods to evaluate climate change over the region and develop likely outcomes of precipitation and temperature on various timescales that are site-specific to each location. The results must be provided to Ohio along with uncertainty quantification and recommendations that include rate of change per emission scenario (SSP 4.5 and SSP 8.5) so that actionable information is provided to evaluate current design criteria and future design criteria against climate change projections.
