Task 1.1: Project Management Conduct ongoing project management including attending a kickoff meeting to establish project organization, identify key stakeholders, develop communication protocols, request existing economic and housing supporting data and analysis, and confirm the schedule with dates for deliverables and bi-weekly check in calls (i.e., every two weeks) with County staff and others, as applicable. Task 1.2: Market Analysis Identify economic baseline trends through market analysis of the local, sub-regional economy including: • Estimates of pre-wildfire local economic activity, employment, and tourist visitation. • Estimates of current economic activity, employment, and tourist visitation. • Establish a population estimate and employment/job estimates, based on the current resident population and economic base. • Current and projected demand for housing, retail, tourism, services, and light industry. • Evaluate key economic indicators and trends in population, employment, income/wages, and consumer spending. • Include insights into tourism flows, seasonal economies, and potential external market linkages. Identify market demand for baseline (existing) and projected growth scenarios including: • Total quantities (i.e., number and square footage) for baseline economic asset mapping by type of use, e.g., retail, restaurants, office, residential, and lodging. • Net additional square footage demand for growth beyond near-term post-wildfire building stock. Identify potential growth opportunities over the next 10 to 15 years (or reasonable identified growth horizon) including: • Economic growth opportunities and trends in Plumas County regional economic drivers. • Employment and job growth, over time. • Population growth estimates, over time, based on employment and job growth. • Anticipated employment and industry economic base trends and growth including government, health care, resource extraction, and service-based tourism and the recreation economy. • Assessment of regional economic linkages, identifying regional gaps and opportunities for complementary growth. • Identify gaps in services, infrastructure, and capacity that may limit recovery or expansion. Task 1.3: Absorption Demand The post-wildfire population has not created the same level of demand for goods and services as the pre-wildfire population. It is therefore important to prepare an assessment of needs for the supply of various goods, public services, facilities, and commercial investments, identifying the level of local and sub-regional driven demand to meet current and future needs. Using the market analysis and assessment of needs, estimate absorption demand for sustainable built space, by use type, scaled and phased over time, based on market demand for baseline (existing) and projected growth scenarios, for the identified horizon years. Task 1.4: Economic Development Study (Deliverable) Summarizing and utilizing data and information from the market analysis and absorption demand tasks, prepare an Indian Valley, Greenville, and Canyon Dam Economic Development Study (Scope #1 deliverable) in a post-wildfire recovery framework. Focus on opportunities to expand and diversify the local economy beyond current economic activities by prioritizing long-term investments that are within the potential financial and human resource capacity of the region. Identify strategic economic development priorities and anchor projects to support long-term growth scenarios. Recommend an implementation strategy, including roles for local agencies and partners, that align and support sustainable economic development recovery.
